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1994-96 Advisory Council Report

 
 Table 95s  Comparison of "Moneys Worth" for the OASDI Program for Present Law and
  StdVal       Advisory Council Options With Reduced CPI*
  NoTaxAdj
            Present Value of Expected Benefits                    Cohort 22 in 1995
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
               (TF
               Real      Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
 Package       Int)     Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    35311    58290    77028    92870             41567    68626    90668   109300
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    35311    58290    77028    92870             41567    68626    90668   109300
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)    43967    70753    98630   133722             49164    76434   105214   140986
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)    52045    88704   127351   176966             57625    95236   135298   186281
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)    37845    63089    86496   111797             43482    71648    97522   125081
 MB+           (4.6)    43413    71649    94706   114148             51446    84916   112221   135242
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)    35296    58252    77001    92816             41548    68578    90633   109231
 MTR           (2.3)    29519    44587    56894    67281             34878    52528    66931    79080
 LTR           (2.3)    26719    32424    37304    41573             31226    36570    41432    45152
 
            Present Value of Expected Pyrl Tax (EE + ER)               Cohort 22 in 1995
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    34158    75906   121450   182778             35488    78864   126182   189870
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    35988    79974   127958   192526             37488    83306   133288   200514
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)    40092    89092   142548   214440             41650    92558   148092   222750
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)    37874    84164   134664   202620             39366    87482   139972   210576
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)    38070    84600   135358   203664             39572    87936   140698   211664
 MB+           (4.6)    37874    84164   134664   202620             39366    87482   139972   210576
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)    34158    75906   121450   182778             35488    78864   126182   189870
 MTR           (2.3)    34158    75906   121450   182778             35488    78864   126182   189870
 LTR           (2.3)    25650    57000    91200   137352             26608    59130    94610   142462
 
            Present Value of Expected "Net Subsidy"                    Cohort 22 in 1995
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)     1153   -17616   -44422   -89908              6079   -10238   -35514   -80570
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)     -677   -21684   -50930   -99656              4079   -14680   -42620   -91214
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)     3875   -18339   -43918   -80718              7514   -16124   -42878   -81764
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)    14171     4540    -7313   -25654             18259     7754    -4674   -24295
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)     -225   -21511   -48862   -91867              3910   -16288   -43176   -86583
 MB+           (4.6)     5539   -12515   -39958   -88472             12080    -2566   -27751   -75334
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)     1138   -17654   -44449   -89962              6060   -10286   -35549   -80639
 MTR           (2.3)    -4639   -31319   -64556  -115497              -610   -26336   -59251  -110790
 LTR           (2.3)     1069   -24576   -53896   -95779              4618   -22560   -53178   -97310
 
            Moneys Worth Ratio (BenefitsX100/Taxes)                    Cohort 22 in 1995
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)      103       77       63       51               117       87       72       58
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)       98       73       60       48               111       82       68       55
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)      110       79       69       62               118       83       71       63
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)      137      105       95       87               146      109       97       88
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)       99       75       64       55               110       81       69       59
 MB+           (4.6)      115       85       70       56               131       97       80       64
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)      103       77       63       51               117       87       72       58
 MTR           (2.3)       86       59       47       37                98       67       53       42
 LTR           (2.3)      104       57       41       30               117       62       44       32
    
Note: All values based in intermediate assumptions of the 1995 Trustees Report*. All dollar values are present value at age 22, then wage indexed to 1995. * Assuming 0.21% lower COLA starting Dec 97; no change in nominal wage or interest. Office of the Actuary / Social Security Administration July 28, 1996
 
 
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