The information that follows was not produced by SSA's Office
of the Chief Actuary. Please contact the listed organization directly
with comments or questions. Some of the documents listed below
are in PDF and require
Acrobat Reader or equivalent software.
|Congressional Budget Office
Uncertainty in the Analysis of Long-Term Social Security Projections" was
published November 2005.
|Lee, Anderson, and Tuljapurkar
"Stochastic Forecasts of the Social Security Trust Fund" (PDF format)
was published in
January 2003 by Shripad Tuljapurkar and Michael Anderson of Mountain View
Research, in conjunction with Ronald Lee and the Center on the Economics and
Demography of Aging at the University of California, Berkeley.
|Policy Simulation Group
Stochastic simulation model developed by Martin Holmer of the
|SSA's Office of Policy
Models of the Social Security Trust Funds compares results from the
stochastic models presented here.