Social Security
Disability Insurance Program
Worker Experience

Contents Previous Next List of Tables List of Figures List of Figures
ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 118
by Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.

Recovery Experience
by Select Age and Duration
(1996-2000)


Table 14A.—Male Disabled Workers
Probability of Recovery
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select
age
Duration of disability
Attained
age
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 or
more
                         
16
0.002049
0.012231
0.022996
0.042919
0.123602
0.145633
0.115262
0.090150
0.075567
0.072779
0.063559
26
17
0.004263
0.012391
0.022986
0.044999
0.120442
0.127367
0.104349
0.082855
0.070331
0.061961
0.053158
27
18
0.006230
0.014361
0.022694
0.048308
0.112467
0.105983
0.089452
0.073303
0.063537
0.050742
0.043541
28
19
0.007580
0.018340
0.024340
0.046744
0.100894
0.087094
0.074756
0.063549
0.053898
0.040491
0.036485
29
                         
20
0.008204
0.021325
0.023862
0.047509
0.087673
0.074851
0.067848
0.054210
0.043456
0.034226
0.029138
30
21
0.008531
0.022320
0.026994
0.042818
0.075039
0.068726
0.055117
0.047689
0.037671
0.029692
0.024691
31
22
0.010492
0.021472
0.028348
0.041343
0.070691
0.062413
0.050407
0.040404
0.033280
0.027095
0.022833
32
23
0.010950
0.021719
0.028161
0.041455
0.067415
0.058973
0.046253
0.039223
0.032496
0.026538
0.018797
33
24
0.011307
0.025357
0.027561
0.040051
0.064179
0.056541
0.046403
0.040817
0.030573
0.024611
0.015785
34
                         
25
0.011222
0.029626
0.028435
0.040511
0.061917
0.056915
0.046372
0.037346
0.029658
0.025776
0.016491
35
26
0.012643
0.028854
0.028006
0.040327
0.060960
0.056460
0.044276
0.035650
0.030799
0.025901
0.014286
36
27
0.012493
0.029363
0.028948
0.039103
0.058881
0.052092
0.040027
0.034217
0.028324
0.023954
0.012868
37
28
0.013172
0.030927
0.029449
0.037993
0.056754
0.049332
0.040923
0.031785
0.028860
0.024206
0.012230
38
29
0.012028
0.032447
0.028460
0.036583
0.052972
0.050516
0.039767
0.030267
0.025929
0.021633
0.012040
39
                         
30
0.012536
0.032819
0.025256
0.035350
0.051521
0.046637
0.038230
0.027841
0.025000
0.019714
0.010640
40
31
0.013360
0.030781
0.023948
0.034538
0.047231
0.043978
0.037571
0.026681
0.024574
0.019085
0.010017
41
32
0.012538
0.028885
0.025611
0.031793
0.044902
0.042232
0.032694
0.028645
0.022286
0.019837
0.008999
42
33
0.012349
0.030124
0.025558
0.030379
0.041275
0.037648
0.032608
0.027986
0.020883
0.019596
0.008739
43
34
0.013083
0.030952
0.024206
0.029416
0.041381
0.037309
0.031326
0.024931
0.021222
0.018103
0.008153
44
                         
35
0.012183
0.030844
0.024918
0.028616
0.040028
0.035151
0.027678
0.023397
0.019900
0.016551
0.007548
45
36
0.011953
0.030403
0.023571
0.027281
0.037051
0.033228
0.026197
0.021099
0.018051
0.016422
0.007179
46
37
0.012522
0.028177
0.022195
0.026022
0.033436
0.031573
0.025783
0.019893
0.016503
0.014363
0.006578
47
38
0.012692
0.027451
0.021024
0.023692
0.033157
0.029684
0.023339
0.018121
0.015814
0.011956
0.005970
48
39
0.011639
0.026657
0.020941
0.022533
0.031257
0.028861
0.022811
0.017715
0.014158
0.011305
0.004947
49
                         
40
0.010866
0.025315
0.019642
0.021547
0.028419
0.026833
0.020075
0.016673
0.012558
0.009468
0.004162
50
41
0.010379
0.022761
0.017416
0.019990
0.026300
0.023957
0.018552
0.013985
0.010923
0.008440
0.003934
51
42
0.009443
0.022551
0.015691
0.018980
0.025075
0.021093
0.015517
0.011459
0.008905
0.007478
0.003497
52
43
0.009234
0.021345
0.014302
0.016928
0.022616
0.018722
0.013468
0.009214
0.007928
0.006364
0.003128
53
44
0.008825
0.018750
0.013820
0.015888
0.019148
0.015849
0.010993
0.008992
0.006939
0.005876
0.002491
54
                         
45
0.008081
0.016712
0.011924
0.014441
0.017035
0.013273
0.011095
0.008619
0.006322
0.004634
0.001995
55
46
0.007875
0.016083
0.011145
0.011957
0.014874
0.011221
0.009776
0.006888
0.005007
0.003027
0.001867
56
47
0.007042
0.014116
0.008761
0.010121
0.013533
0.010984
0.008643
0.005399
0.003489
0.002362
0.001628
57
48
0.006550
0.011569
0.007839
0.009090
0.012656
0.010135
0.006799
0.004231
0.003311
0.002702
0.001361
58
49
0.004606
0.009658
0.006105
0.007579
0.010385
0.007425
0.005501
0.003596
0.003461
0.002575
0.001378
59
                         
50
0.003540
0.007272
0.004727
0.006531
0.007955
0.005453
0.004268
0.002985
0.002476
0.001633
0.001080
60
51
0.003666
0.006841
0.004151
0.005404
0.007079
0.005364
0.003914
0.002647
0.002127
0.001638
0.000839
61
52
0.004035
0.006556
0.003660
0.004177
0.006382
0.004267
0.003173
0.002479
0.001881
0.001454
0.000512
62
53
0.003043
0.004315
0.002695
0.003408
0.005159
0.004252
0.002636
0.002473
0.001784
0.000676
0.000421
63
54
0.002034
0.002766
0.001742
0.003182
0.005368
0.004048
0.002373
0.002110
0.001197
0.000664
0.000335
64
                         
55
0.001336
0.002204
0.001511
0.002510
0.004682
0.003100
0.001861
0.001065
0.000698
0.000439
65
56
0.001500
0.002145
0.001297
0.002244
0.004123
0.002441
0.001334
0.000769
0.000491
66
57
0.001003
0.001690
0.001297
0.001915
0.003078
0.001606
0.001016
0.000457
67
58
0.000750
0.001360
0.000772
0.001523
0.001904
0.001069
0.000795
68
59
0.000881
0.001290
0.000575
0.000989
0.001467
0.000601
69
                         
60
0.000689
0.000837
0.000346
0.000765
0.000882
70
61
0.000517
0.000399
0.000206
0.000510
71
62
0.000183
0.000261
0.000275
72
63
0.000490
0.000497
73
64
0.000182
74
                         

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value q[x]+t at duration t represents the probability of recovery while on the DI rolls—in a multiple-decrement environment—during the (t+1) year of entitlement for those originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x] who have attained age [x]+t.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.
4. Results have been graduated using the Whittaker-Henderson Type B two-dimensional method.

Table 14B.—Female Disabled Workers
Probability of Recovery
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select
age
Duration of disability
Attained
age
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 or
more
                         
16
0.001153
0.004351
0.020794
0.047806
0.086185
0.113463
0.100048
0.086024
0.059846
0.070452
0.050316
26
17
0.003275
0.010272
0.019726
0.047377
0.082067
0.095780
0.084487
0.075583
0.056148
0.061694
0.043022
27
18
0.005198
0.016147
0.020692
0.046989
0.080583
0.081254
0.069766
0.063989
0.051705
0.052005
0.036147
28
19
0.006729
0.018725
0.021151
0.046916
0.078405
0.069457
0.057905
0.052108
0.048207
0.041086
0.030350
29
                         
20
0.006181
0.017954
0.020825
0.042682
0.072175
0.062053
0.048440
0.041733
0.040610
0.032184
0.025047
30
21
0.006755
0.016363
0.019203
0.037665
0.062783
0.057636
0.044028
0.038078
0.032355
0.027693
0.022239
31
22
0.007370
0.015957
0.019673
0.034107
0.056094
0.050696
0.039953
0.034214
0.026917
0.025636
0.019185
32
23
0.007167
0.017395
0.020134
0.033493
0.053051
0.047562
0.036200
0.028778
0.025577
0.023014
0.016466
33
24
0.007400
0.018361
0.019888
0.032878
0.050765
0.046124
0.035613
0.027349
0.025523
0.021065
0.016454
34
                         
25
0.007191
0.019340
0.019288
0.030751
0.048213
0.043389
0.035537
0.029104
0.024765
0.020414
0.014938
35
26
0.007547
0.021423
0.019162
0.029840
0.047540
0.041023
0.034474
0.029099
0.025738
0.021374
0.014368
36
27
0.007664
0.021534
0.019385
0.028205
0.044088
0.038906
0.034265
0.027927
0.025742
0.020417
0.013000
37
28
0.008255
0.020724
0.019070
0.025998
0.040583
0.035868
0.029786
0.026196
0.023320
0.020206
0.011845
38
29
0.007836
0.019551
0.018291
0.027536
0.038264
0.035872
0.026693
0.023951
0.023156
0.020150
0.011635
39
                         
30
0.008209
0.020145
0.017459
0.024474
0.035494
0.034055
0.027527
0.022654
0.024873
0.019258
0.010633
40
31
0.007217
0.020310
0.016832
0.022067
0.036788
0.033272
0.027979
0.024387
0.023069
0.018817
0.010203
41
32
0.008281
0.021386
0.016211
0.021293
0.033875
0.031342
0.026265
0.023097
0.020793
0.017639
0.010242
42
33
0.008124
0.020977
0.015352
0.020961
0.031087
0.028853
0.025718
0.021558
0.019561
0.016063
0.010035
43
34
0.008236
0.019283
0.014710
0.018690
0.029580
0.028475
0.024460
0.020295
0.018247
0.016939
0.009265
44
                         
35
0.008158
0.019097
0.014458
0.019285
0.026547
0.026946
0.023759
0.020938
0.016383
0.015039
0.008490
45
36
0.007862
0.017457
0.013321
0.017923
0.026888
0.025574
0.022143
0.020114
0.017206
0.013776
0.007882
46
37
0.007562
0.017801
0.012871
0.014855
0.025557
0.022798
0.022782
0.019306
0.015844
0.013264
0.007388
47
38
0.007399
0.016047
0.012740
0.015448
0.024689
0.021429
0.020234
0.017043
0.015787
0.013167
0.006382
48
39
0.007366
0.016135
0.011825
0.015271
0.023334
0.020822
0.019009
0.016114
0.013122
0.011460
0.006460
49
                         
40
0.006798
0.015330
0.011181
0.013145
0.020872
0.020651
0.018727
0.014238
0.010999
0.010728
0.005194
50
41
0.006574
0.015070
0.010243
0.012515
0.019839
0.019795
0.016775
0.013939
0.010637
0.008468
0.004800
51
42
0.005974
0.013878
0.008957
0.011111
0.018051
0.016508
0.014466
0.012732
0.008647
0.007890
0.004337
52
43
0.006077
0.013456
0.009119
0.011022
0.017124
0.014999
0.013533
0.008764
0.007014
0.006651
0.003320
53
44
0.005796
0.012359
0.007374
0.011672
0.015959
0.014618
0.010632
0.008329
0.006863
0.005803
0.003082
54
                         
45
0.006175
0.011882
0.007400
0.009788
0.014437
0.012066
0.009138
0.007637
0.005402
0.004545
0.002257
55
46
0.005384
0.011161
0.007281
0.007937
0.012390
0.009767
0.008333
0.006889
0.005043
0.003273
0.002085
56
47
0.005445
0.010798
0.005963
0.007603
0.011653
0.009009
0.006298
0.005956
0.004456
0.003124
0.001842
57
48
0.004500
0.009428
0.004768
0.006286
0.010587
0.007995
0.005783
0.004363
0.003457
0.002855
0.001521
58
49
0.003921
0.007325
0.004764
0.006114
0.009334
0.005746
0.004611
0.003341
0.002727
0.002278
0.001220
59
                         
50
0.003347
0.005804
0.003425
0.004595
0.006655
0.004803
0.003880
0.003017
0.002127
0.001730
0.001216
60
51
0.002796
0.005302
0.002866
0.003788
0.005925
0.004006
0.003598
0.002486
0.002616
0.001408
0.000850
61
52
0.002629
0.005152
0.002452
0.003328
0.005398
0.004090
0.002642
0.002459
0.002038
0.000893
0.000484
62
53
0.002242
0.003455
0.002085
0.002357
0.005471
0.003629
0.002331
0.002090
0.001331
0.000727
0.000375
63
54
0.001781
0.002860
0.001635
0.002371
0.004237
0.003044
0.001898
0.001623
0.000966
0.000425
0.000333
64
                         
55
0.001352
0.001837
0.001220
0.002042
0.003757
0.002441
0.001815
0.000963
0.000766
0.000536
65
56
0.001373
0.002017
0.000991
0.002001
0.003354
0.002254
0.001300
0.000509
0.000505
66
57
0.001104
0.001570
0.000858
0.001705
0.002821
0.001113
0.000766
0.000084
67
58
0.001223
0.001578
0.000544
0.001387
0.002346
0.000964
0.000323
68
59
0.000967
0.001173
0.000383
0.000761
0.001152
0.000722
69
                         
60
0.000824
0.000737
0.000077
0.000444
0.000608
70
61
0.000371
0.000276
0.000228
0.000079
71
62
0.000296
0.000237
0.000252
72
63
0.000539
0.000462
73
64
0.000453
74
                         

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value q[x]+t at duration t represents the probability of recovery while on the DI rolls—in a multiple-decrement environment—during the (t+1) year of entitlement for those originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x] who have attained age [x]+t.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.
4. Results have been graduated using the Whittaker-Henderson Type B two-dimensional method.

Table 15A.—Male Disabled Workers
Survival Table
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select
age
Duration of disability
Attained
age
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 or
more
                         
16
100,000
99,795
98,574
96,307
92,174
80,781
69,017
61,062
55,557
51,359
47,621
26
17
88,393
88,016
86,925
84,927
81,105
71,337
62,251
55,755
51,135
47,539
44,594
27
18
77,870
77,385
76,274
74,543
70,942
62,963
56,290
51,255
47,498
44,480
42,223
28
19
69,038
68,515
67,258
65,621
62,554
56,243
51,345
47,507
44,488
42,090
40,385
29
                         
20
62,723
62,208
60,881
59,428
56,605
51,642
47,777
44,535
42,121
40,291
38,912
30
21
57,818
57,325
56,046
54,533
52,198
48,281
44,963
42,485
40,459
38,935
37,778
31
22
54,707
54,133
52,971
51,469
49,341
45,853
42,991
40,824
39,175
37,871
36,845
32
23
52,740
52,162
51,029
49,592
47,536
44,331
41,717
39,787
38,226
36,984
36,004
33
24
51,430
50,848
49,559
48,193
46,263
43,294
40,846
38,951
37,361
36,219
35,327
34
                         
25
50,631
50,063
48,580
47,199
45,287
42,483
40,065
38,207
36,780
35,689
34,769
35
26
49,591
48,964
47,551
46,219
44,355
41,651
39,299
37,559
36,220
35,104
34,196
36
27
48,047
47,447
46,054
44,721
42,972
40,442
38,335
36,801
35,542
34,535
33,707
37
28
47,226
46,604
45,163
43,833
42,168
39,775
37,813
36,266
35,113
34,100
33,273
38
29
46,034
45,480
44,004
42,752
41,188
39,006
37,036
35,563
34,487
33,593
32,866
39
                         
30
44,745
44,184
42,734
41,655
40,182
38,112
36,335
34,946
33,973
33,124
32,470
40
31
43,667
43,084
41,758
40,758
39,350
37,491
35,842
34,495
33,575
32,750
32,125
41
32
42,679
42,144
40,927
39,879
38,611
36,877
35,320
34,165
33,186
32,446
31,803
42
33
41,814
41,298
40,054
39,030
37,844
36,282
34,916
33,777
32,832
32,146
31,517
43
34
41,174
40,635
39,377
38,424
37,294
35,751
34,417
33,339
32,508
31,818
31,242
44
                         
35
40,310
39,819
38,591
37,629
36,552
35,089
33,856
32,919
32,149
31,509
30,987
45
36
39,433
38,962
37,777
36,887
35,881
34,552
33,404
32,529
31,843
31,268
30,753
46
37
38,559
38,076
37,003
36,182
35,240
34,062
32,987
32,136
31,497
30,977
30,532
47
38
37,778
37,299
36,275
35,512
34,671
33,521
32,526
31,767
31,191
30,698
30,331
48
39
37,207
36,774
35,794
35,044
34,254
33,183
32,225
31,490
30,932
30,494
30,150
49
                         
40
36,404
36,008
35,096
34,407
33,666
32,709
31,831
31,192
30,672
30,287
30,001
50
41
35,568
35,199
34,398
33,799
33,123
32,252
31,479
30,895
30,463
30,130
29,876
51
42
34,838
34,509
33,731
33,202
32,572
31,755
31,085
30,603
30,252
29,983
29,758
52
43
34,153
33,838
33,116
32,642
32,089
31,363
30,776
30,362
30,082
29,844
29,654
53
44
33,530
33,234
32,611
32,160
31,649
31,043
30,551
30,215
29,943
29,735
29,561
54
                         
45
33,010
32,743
32,196
31,812
31,353
30,819
30,410
30,073
29,814
29,626
29,487
55
46
32,471
32,215
31,697
31,344
30,969
30,508
30,166
29,871
29,665
29,516
29,428
56
47
31,975
31,750
31,302
31,028
30,714
30,298
29,965
29,706
29,546
29,443
29,373
57
48
31,616
31,409
31,046
30,803
30,523
30,137
29,832
29,629
29,504
29,406
29,325
58
49
31,130
30,987
30,688
30,501
30,270
29,956
29,734
29,570
29,464
29,362
29,285
59
                         
50
30,651
30,542
30,320
30,177
29,980
29,742
29,580
29,454
29,366
29,293
29,245
60
51
30,495
30,383
30,175
30,050
29,888
29,676
29,517
29,401
29,323
29,261
29,213
61
52
30,323
30,201
30,003
29,893
29,768
29,578
29,452
29,359
29,286
29,231
29,188
62
53
30,076
29,984
29,855
29,775
29,674
29,521
29,395
29,318
29,245
29,193
29,173
63
54
29,915
29,854
29,771
29,719
29,624
29,465
29,346
29,276
29,214
29,179
29,161
64
                         
55
29,723
29,683
29,618
29,573
29,499
29,361
29,270
29,216
29,185
29,165
65
56
29,532
29,488
29,425
29,387
29,321
29,200
29,129
29,090
29,068
66
57
29,343
29,313
29,263
29,225
29,169
29,079
29,032
29,003
67
58
29,154
29,132
29,092
29,070
29,026
28,971
28,940
68
59
28,967
28,942
28,905
28,888
28,859
28,817
69
                         
60
28,781
28,761
28,737
28,727
28,705
70
61
28,597
28,582
28,571
28,565
71
62
28,413
28,408
28,401
72
63
28,231
28,217
73
64
28,050
74
                         

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value l[x] at duration 0 represents the assumed number of lives originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x]; the value l[x]+t at duration
t > 0 represents the number of lives from the original l[x] who have not recovered and remain on the DI rolls as of attained age [x]+t. Lives are decremented using probabilities from table 14A.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.

Table 15B.—Female Disabled Workers
Survival Table
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select
age
Duration of disability
Attained
age
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 or
more
                         
16
100,000
99,885
99,450
97,382
92,727
84,735
75,121
67,605
61,789
58,091
53,998
26
17
89,481
89,188
88,272
86,531
82,431
75,666
68,419
62,638
57,904
54,653
51,281
27
18
81,254
80,832
79,527
77,881
74,221
68,240
62,695
58,321
54,589
51,766
49,075
28
19
74,424
73,923
72,539
71,005
67,674
62,368
58,036
54,675
51,826
49,328
47,301
29
                         
20
68,041
67,620
66,406
65,023
62,248
57,755
54,171
51,547
49,396
47,390
45,865
30
21
63,460
63,031
62,000
60,809
58,519
54,845
51,684
49,408
47,527
45,989
44,716
31
22
60,009
59,567
58,616
57,463
55,503
52,390
49,734
47,747
46,113
44,872
43,722
32
23
57,750
57,336
56,339
55,205
53,356
50,525
48,122
46,380
45,045
43,893
42,883
33
24
56,363
55,946
54,919
53,827
52,057
49,414
47,135
45,456
44,213
43,085
42,177
34
                         
25
55,033
54,637
53,580
52,547
50,931
48,475
46,372
44,724
43,422
42,347
41,483
35
26
54,162
53,753
52,601
51,593
50,053
47,673
45,717
44,141
42,857
41,754
40,863
36
27
52,883
52,478
51,348
50,353
48,933
46,776
44,956
43,416
42,204
41,118
40,276
37
28
51,225
50,802
49,749
48,800
47,531
45,602
43,966
42,656
41,539
40,570
39,752
38
29
50,167
49,774
48,801
47,908
46,589
44,806
43,199
42,046
41,039
40,089
39,281
39
                         
30
49,219
48,815
47,832
46,997
45,847
44,220
42,714
41,538
40,597
39,587
38,824
40
31
48,527
48,177
47,199
46,405
45,381
43,712
42,258
41,076
40,074
39,150
38,411
41
32
47,512
47,119
46,111
45,363
44,397
42,893
41,549
40,458
39,524
38,702
38,019
42
33
46,454
46,077
45,110
44,417
43,486
42,134
40,918
39,866
39,007
38,244
37,630
43
34
45,550
45,175
44,304
43,652
42,836
41,569
40,385
39,397
38,597
37,893
37,252
44
                         
35
44,746
44,381
43,533
42,904
42,077
40,960
39,856
38,909
38,094
37,470
36,907
45
36
43,991
43,645
42,883
42,312
41,554
40,437
39,403
38,530
37,755
37,105
36,594
46
37
43,219
42,892
42,128
41,586
40,968
39,921
39,011
38,122
37,386
36,794
36,306
47
38
42,522
42,207
41,530
41,001
40,368
39,371
38,527
37,747
37,104
36,518
36,038
48
39
41,844
41,536
40,866
40,383
39,766
38,838
38,029
37,306
36,705
36,223
35,808
49
                         
40
41,079
40,800
40,175
39,726
39,204
38,386
37,593
36,889
36,364
35,964
35,577
50
41
40,502
40,236
39,630
39,224
38,733
37,965
37,213
36,589
36,079
35,695
35,392
51
42
39,673
39,436
38,889
38,541
38,113
37,425
36,807
36,275
35,813
35,503
35,222
52
43
39,085
38,847
38,324
37,975
37,556
36,913
36,359
35,867
35,553
35,304
35,069
53
44
38,628
38,404
37,929
37,649
37,210
36,616
36,081
35,697
35,400
35,157
34,953
54
                         
45
38,085
37,850
37,400
37,123
36,760
36,229
35,792
35,465
35,194
35,004
34,845
55
46
37,579
37,377
36,960
36,691
36,400
35,949
35,598
35,301
35,058
34,881
34,766
56
47
37,231
37,028
36,628
36,410
36,133
35,712
35,390
35,167
34,958
34,802
34,694
57
48
36,780
36,614
36,269
36,096
35,869
35,489
35,205
35,001
34,848
34,728
34,630
58
49
36,361
36,218
35,953
35,782
35,563
35,231
35,029
34,867
34,751
34,656
34,577
59
                         
50
35,925
35,805
35,597
35,475
35,312
35,077
34,909
34,774
34,669
34,595
34,535
60
51
35,717
35,617
35,428
35,326
35,192
34,983
34,843
34,718
34,632
34,541
34,493
61
52
35,554
35,461
35,278
35,191
35,074
34,885
34,742
34,650
34,565
34,495
34,464
62
53
35,346
35,267
35,145
35,072
34,989
34,798
34,672
34,591
34,519
34,473
34,447
63
54
35,160
35,097
34,997
34,940
34,857
34,709
34,603
34,537
34,481
34,448
34,434
64
                         
55
35,004
34,957
34,893
34,850
34,779
34,648
34,563
34,500
34,467
34,441
65
56
34,849
34,801
34,731
34,697
34,628
34,512
34,434
34,389
34,371
66
57
34,694
34,656
34,602
34,572
34,513
34,416
34,378
34,352
67
58
34,540
34,498
34,444
34,425
34,377
34,296
34,263
68
59
34,387
34,354
34,314
34,301
34,275
34,236
69
                         
60
34,234
34,206
34,181
34,178
34,163
70
61
34,082
34,070
34,061
34,053
71
62
33,931
33,921
33,913
72
63
33,781
33,762
73
64
33,631
74
                         

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value l[x] at duration 0 represents the assumed number of lives originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x]; the value l[x]+t at duration
t > 0 represents the number of lives from the original l[x] who have not recovered and remain on the DI rolls as of attained age [x]+t. Lives are decremented using probabilities from table 14B.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.

Table 16A.—Male Disabled Workers
Expected Time on the DI Rolls (Recovery Termination Only)
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select
age
Duration of disability
Attained
age
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 or
more
                         
16
20.51
19.55
18.79
18.22
18.02
19.49
21.72
23.49
24.76
25.75
26.73
26
17
21.75
20.84
20.09
19.55
19.45
21.05
23.05
24.67
25.86
26.78
27.51
27
18
23.18
22.32
21.64
21.13
21.18
22.80
24.44
25.79
26.80
27.58
28.03
28
19
24.66
23.84
23.28
22.85
22.94
24.46
25.75
26.79
27.57
28.11
28.28
29
                         
20
25.81
25.02
24.55
24.14
24.32
25.61
26.64
27.54
28.09
28.34
28.33
30
21
26.76
25.98
25.57
25.26
25.37
26.39
27.30
27.86
28.23
28.32
28.17
31
22
27.18
26.47
26.04
25.78
25.87
26.80
27.55
27.99
28.15
28.10
27.87
32
23
27.23
26.53
26.10
25.85
25.94
26.78
27.43
27.73
27.85
27.76
27.51
33
24
27.02
26.32
25.99
25.72
25.77
26.50
27.06
27.35
27.50
27.35
27.02
34
                         
25
26.60
25.89
25.67
25.41
25.46
26.10
26.65
26.92
26.95
26.76
26.45
35
26
26.29
25.62
25.37
25.09
25.12
25.72
26.23
26.42
26.38
26.20
25.88
36
27
26.20
25.53
25.28
25.02
25.02
25.55
25.93
25.99
25.90
25.64
25.25
37
28
25.81
25.15
24.93
24.67
24.63
25.08
25.35
25.41
25.23
24.97
24.58
38
29
25.57
24.88
24.70
24.40
24.31
24.64
24.93
24.94
24.70
24.35
23.87
39
                         
30
25.38
24.70
24.52
24.14
24.01
24.29
24.45
24.40
24.09
23.69
23.16
40
31
25.11
24.45
24.21
23.79
23.62
23.77
23.84
23.75
23.39
22.97
22.40
41
32
24.80
24.11
23.81
23.42
23.18
23.24
23.25
23.02
22.68
22.19
21.62
42
33
24.42
23.71
23.44
23.04
22.74
22.70
22.57
22.31
21.94
21.40
20.82
43
34
23.91
23.22
22.95
22.50
22.17
22.10
21.94
21.64
21.18
20.62
19.99
44
                         
35
23.50
22.78
22.49
22.06
21.69
21.57
21.34
20.94
20.42
19.83
19.16
45
36
23.10
22.37
22.06
21.58
21.17
20.97
20.67
20.21
19.64
18.99
18.30
46
37
22.69
21.97
21.59
21.07
20.62
20.31
19.96
19.48
18.86
18.17
17.43
47
38
22.21
21.49
21.08
20.53
20.01
19.68
19.27
18.72
18.05
17.33
16.54
48
39
21.64
20.89
20.45
19.88
19.32
18.93
18.48
17.90
17.21
16.45
15.63
49
                         
40
21.16
20.39
19.91
19.29
18.71
18.24
17.73
17.08
16.36
15.57
14.71
50
41
20.69
19.90
19.35
18.69
18.06
17.53
16.95
16.26
15.48
14.65
13.77
51
42
20.14
19.32
18.76
18.05
17.39
16.82
16.18
15.42
14.60
13.72
12.82
52
43
19.55
18.73
18.13
17.39
16.68
16.05
15.35
14.55
13.68
12.79
11.86
53
44
18.94
18.10
17.44
16.67
15.93
15.24
14.47
13.63
12.75
11.83
10.90
54
                         
45
18.26
17.41
16.69
15.89
15.11
14.37
13.55
12.70
11.81
10.88
9.93
55
46
17.56
16.69
15.96
15.13
14.31
13.52
12.67
11.79
10.87
9.92
8.95
56
47
16.83
15.95
15.17
14.30
13.44
12.62
11.75
10.85
9.91
8.94
7.96
57
48
16.04
15.15
14.32
13.43
12.55
11.70
10.81
9.89
8.93
7.95
6.97
58
49
15.29
14.36
13.49
12.57
11.66
10.78
9.86
8.91
7.94
6.97
5.98
59
                         
50
14.50
13.55
12.64
11.70
10.77
9.86
8.91
7.94
6.96
5.98
4.99
60
51
13.58
12.63
11.72
10.76
9.82
8.88
7.93
6.96
5.98
4.99
3.99
61
52
12.66
11.71
10.79
9.83
8.86
7.92
6.95
5.97
4.98
3.99
3.00
62
53
11.77
10.80
9.85
8.87
7.90
6.94
5.97
4.98
3.99
3.00
2.00
63
54
10.84
9.86
8.88
7.90
6.92
5.96
4.98
3.99
3.00
2.00
1.00
64
                         
55
9.89
8.90
7.92
6.93
5.95
4.98
3.99
3.00
2.00
1.00
65
56
8.92
7.93
6.95
5.96
4.97
3.99
3.00
2.00
1.00
66
57
7.95
6.96
5.97
4.97
3.98
2.99
2.00
1.00
67
58
6.97
5.98
4.98
3.99
2.99
2.00
1.00
68
59
5.98
4.99
3.99
3.00
2.00
1.00
69
                         
60
4.99
3.99
3.00
2.00
1.00
70
61
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
71
62
3.00
2.00
1.00
72
63
2.00
1.00
73
64
1.00
74
                         

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value e[x]+t at duration t represents the expected number of future years of DI entitlement for those originally entitled to benefits at select age [x] who have not recovered as of attained age [x]+t. Values are based on survivorship experience from table 15A, which reflects termination due to recovery only.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.

Table 16B.—Female Disabled Workers
Expected Time on the DI Rolls (Recovery Termination Only)
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select
age
Duration of disability
Attained
age
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 or
more
                         
16
23.21
22.23
21.33
20.77
20.79
21.70
23.41
24.96
26.26
26.90
27.90
26
17
24.48
23.56
22.79
22.24
22.32
23.28
24.69
25.92
27.00
27.58
28.36
27
18
25.56
24.70
24.09
23.59
23.73
24.77
25.91
26.82
27.62
28.10
28.61
28
19
26.58
25.75
25.24
24.77
24.97
26.05
26.95
27.58
28.07
28.46
28.66
29
                         
20
27.74
26.91
26.40
25.95
26.08
27.07
27.83
28.22
28.43
28.61
28.54
30
21
28.55
27.74
27.19
26.72
26.74
27.50
28.15
28.43
28.53
28.47
28.26
31
22
29.05
28.27
27.72
27.26
27.21
27.80
28.25
28.41
28.40
28.17
27.90
32
23
29.14
28.35
27.84
27.40
27.33
27.84
28.20
28.24
28.07
27.79
27.43
33
24
28.90
28.12
27.63
27.18
27.09
27.51
27.82
27.83
27.60
27.31
26.88
34
                         
25
28.66
27.87
27.41
26.93
26.77
27.10
27.31
27.30
27.10
26.78
26.32
35
26
28.22
27.43
27.02
26.54
26.34
26.63
26.75
26.69
26.47
26.16
25.72
36
27
27.96
27.17
26.76
26.27
26.02
26.20
26.24
26.15
25.89
25.56
25.08
37
28
27.86
27.08
26.65
26.16
25.84
25.91
25.86
25.64
25.31
24.91
24.41
38
29
27.50
26.72
26.24
25.72
25.43
25.42
25.35
25.03
24.63
24.21
23.69
39
                         
30
27.10
26.32
25.85
25.30
24.92
24.82
24.68
24.36
23.92
23.52
22.97
40
31
26.58
25.77
25.30
24.72
24.27
24.17
23.99
23.66
23.24
22.78
22.21
41
32
26.18
25.39
24.94
24.34
23.86
23.68
23.43
23.04
22.58
22.05
21.43
42
33
25.80
25.00
24.53
23.90
23.40
23.14
22.81
22.40
21.88
21.31
20.65
43
34
25.35
24.56
24.03
23.38
22.82
22.50
22.14
21.69
21.13
20.51
19.85
44
                         
35
24.84
24.04
23.50
22.84
22.28
21.87
21.46
20.97
20.41
19.74
19.03
45
36
24.32
23.50
22.91
22.22
21.61
21.20
20.74
20.20
19.60
18.94
18.19
46
37
23.78
22.96
22.37
21.65
20.97
20.51
19.98
19.43
18.80
18.10
17.33
47
38
23.21
22.38
21.73
21.01
20.33
19.83
19.25
18.64
17.96
17.24
16.46
48
39
22.60
21.76
21.11
20.36
19.67
19.13
18.52
17.87
17.16
16.38
15.56
49
                         
40
22.03
21.18
20.50
19.72
18.98
18.37
17.75
17.08
16.32
15.50
14.66
50
41
21.37
20.50
19.81
19.01
18.24
17.60
16.95
16.23
15.45
14.61
13.73
51
42
20.79
19.92
19.19
18.36
17.56
16.87
16.15
15.38
14.57
13.69
12.80
52
43
20.09
19.21
18.47
17.63
16.83
16.11
15.35
14.55
13.68
12.77
11.85
53
44
19.35
18.46
17.69
16.81
16.01
15.26
14.48
13.63
12.74
11.82
10.89
54
                         
45
18.62
17.73
16.93
16.06
15.21
14.43
13.60
12.72
11.81
10.87
9.92
55
46
17.86
16.96
16.14
15.26
14.37
13.55
12.68
11.78
10.86
9.91
8.94
56
47
17.04
16.13
15.30
14.39
13.49
12.65
11.76
10.83
9.89
8.93
7.96
57
48
16.24
15.31
14.45
13.52
12.60
11.73
10.82
9.88
8.92
7.95
6.97
58
49
15.41
14.47
13.57
12.64
11.71
10.82
9.88
8.92
7.95
6.97
5.98
59
                         
50
14.58
13.63
12.70
11.75
10.80
9.87
8.91
7.94
6.97
5.98
4.99
60
51
13.67
12.71
11.77
10.80
9.84
8.90
7.93
6.96
5.97
4.99
4.00
61
52
12.73
11.76
10.82
9.85
8.88
7.92
6.96
5.97
4.99
3.99
3.00
62
53
11.81
10.83
9.87
8.89
7.91
6.95
5.97
4.98
3.99
3.00
2.00
63
54
10.86
9.88
8.91
7.92
6.94
5.97
4.98
3.99
3.00
2.00
1.00
64
                         
55
9.91
8.92
7.94
6.95
5.96
4.98
3.99
3.00
2.00
1.00
65
56
8.93
7.94
6.96
5.96
4.97
3.99
3.00
2.00
1.00
66
57
7.96
6.96
5.97
4.98
3.99
3.00
2.00
1.00
67
58
6.97
5.98
4.99
3.99
2.99
2.00
1.00
68
59
5.98
4.99
3.99
3.00
2.00
1.00
69
                         
60
4.99
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
70
61
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
71
62
3.00
2.00
1.00
72
63
2.00
1.00
73
64
1.00
74
                         

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value e[x]+t at duration t represents the expected number of future years of DI entitlement for those originally entitled to benefits at select age [x] who have not recovered as of attained age [x]+t. Values are based on survivorship experience from table 15B, which reflects termination due to recovery only.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.

Table 17A.—Male Disabled Workers
Absolute Recovery Rate Per Thousand Entitled
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select
age
Duration of disability
Attained
age
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 or
more
                         
16
2.054
12.290
23.073
43.063
124.115
146.196
115.529
90.462
75.845
73.084
63.858
26
17
4.285
12.470
23.088
45.178
120.816
127.846
104.652
83.107
70.592
62.199
53.379
27
18
6.280
14.467
22.814
48.518
112.772
106.378
89.748
73.542
63.754
50.930
43.710
28
19
7.657
18.486
24.468
46.973
101.194
87.418
75.017
63.797
54.060
40.642
36.648
29
                         
20
8.292
21.513
23.983
47.760
88.019
75.154
68.052
54.423
43.600
34.344
29.259
30
21
8.618
22.505
27.131
43.042
75.370
69.015
55.329
47.867
37.834
29.812
24.793
31
22
10.608
21.658
28.494
41.536
71.022
62.677
50.648
40.561
33.423
27.208
22.934
32
23
11.097
21.940
28.333
41.662
67.770
59.211
46.471
39.381
32.650
26.652
18.886
33
24
11.476
25.619
27.775
40.282
64.569
56.799
46.618
40.997
30.722
24.737
15.854
34
                         
25
11.415
29.970
28.686
40.795
62.350
57.235
46.610
37.533
29.817
25.899
16.569
35
26
12.886
29.239
28.293
40.655
61.466
56.816
44.543
35.849
30.977
26.047
14.355
36
27
12.742
29.812
29.284
39.480
59.383
52.444
40.279
34.409
28.485
24.103
12.935
37
28
13.446
31.413
29.819
38.387
57.276
49.728
41.210
32.005
29.039
24.352
12.293
38
29
12.293
32.981
28.850
37.005
53.467
50.933
40.063
30.475
26.088
21.772
12.113
39
                         
30
12.840
33.382
25.612
35.759
52.018
47.029
38.536
28.033
25.168
19.860
10.705
40
31
13.713
31.325
24.293
34.939
47.699
44.360
37.867
26.881
24.760
19.229
10.081
41
32
12.871
29.398
25.978
32.201
45.353
42.592
32.952
28.884
22.460
19.981
9.063
42
33
12.684
30.655
25.929
30.742
41.685
37.982
32.899
28.203
21.058
19.762
8.803
43
34
13.448
31.497
24.553
29.761
41.815
37.647
31.619
25.130
21.402
18.254
8.217
44
                         
35
12.529
31.408
25.291
28.961
40.485
35.483
27.927
23.622
20.081
16.694
7.611
45
36
12.283
30.933
23.913
27.606
37.462
33.561
26.457
21.306
18.237
16.567
7.241
46
37
12.880
28.689
22.540
26.336
33.832
31.887
26.032
20.097
16.672
14.516
6.640
47
38
13.082
27.945
21.338
24.020
33.523
29.987
23.575
18.309
15.965
12.086
6.028
48
39
12.007
27.157
21.259
22.831
31.635
29.174
23.071
17.895
14.309
11.429
4.998
49
                         
40
11.225
25.807
19.958
21.827
28.783
27.128
20.296
16.867
12.706
9.577
4.208
50
41
10.734
23.200
17.693
20.266
26.623
24.247
18.763
14.147
11.054
8.547
3.979
51
42
9.793
22.998
15.933
19.235
25.413
21.341
15.713
11.586
9.016
7.579
3.541
52
43
9.598
21.803
14.542
17.165
22.913
18.961
13.633
9.326
8.030
6.451
3.169
53
44
9.190
19.168
14.047
16.129
19.394
16.047
11.131
9.108
7.038
5.962
2.528
54
                         
45
8.433
17.073
12.116
14.650
17.258
13.445
11.246
8.742
6.414
4.707
2.025
55
46
8.233
16.438
11.338
12.128
15.083
11.377
9.920
6.990
5.085
3.079
1.897
56
47
7.360
14.444
8.912
10.276
13.733
11.149
8.783
5.479
3.546
2.405
1.657
57
48
6.871
11.856
7.979
9.238
12.842
10.292
6.913
4.302
3.371
2.753
1.386
58
49
4.826
9.891
6.214
7.700
10.540
7.543
5.591
3.659
3.525
2.625
1.405
59
                         
50
3.684
7.425
4.802
6.633
8.077
5.538
4.339
3.040
2.524
1.665
1.103
60
51
3.840
7.005
4.227
5.499
7.201
5.461
3.985
2.699
2.170
1.674
0.858
61
52
4.238
6.720
3.733
4.252
6.494
4.347
3.236
2.531
1.923
1.489
0.524
62
53
3.201
4.432
2.750
3.472
5.255
4.338
2.689
2.528
1.826
0.693
0.432
63
54
2.139
2.839
1.779
3.243
5.472
4.130
2.422
2.157
1.225
0.681
0.344
64
                         
55
1.394
2.256
1.540
2.556
4.772
3.162
1.900
1.089
0.714
0.450
65
56
1.574
2.202
1.324
2.290
4.209
2.495
1.365
0.788
0.504
66
57
1.054
1.736
1.325
1.955
3.145
1.643
1.041
0.469
67
58
0.789
1.398
0.790
1.559
1.949
1.095
0.816
68
59
0.928
1.327
0.589
1.013
1.502
0.617
69
                         
60
0.725
0.862
0.355
0.784
0.904
70
61
0.549
0.412
0.212
0.524
71
62
0.195
0.271
0.283
72
63
0.529
0.520
73
64
0.200
74
                         

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value [x]+t at duration t represents the number of recoveries per thousand during the (t+1) year of entitlement for those originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x] who have attained age [x]+t. Rates are derived from death probabilities shown in table 7A and recovery probabilities shown in table 14A. See appendix for details.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.

Table 17B.—Female Disabled Workers
Absolute Recovery Rate Per Thousand Entitled
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select
age
Duration of disability
Attained
age
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 or
more
                         
16
1.155
4.358
20.841
47.957
86.425
113.650
100.183
86.558
60.011
70.602
50.473
26
17
3.287
10.310
19.801
47.526
82.303
95.991
84.664
75.946
56.305
61.857
43.177
27
18
5.229
16.248
20.800
47.128
80.851
81.469
69.972
64.241
51.854
52.166
36.291
28
19
6.781
18.872
21.272
47.086
78.694
69.652
58.087
52.267
48.358
41.219
30.471
29
                         
20
6.233
18.106
20.930
42.858
72.463
62.243
48.598
41.859
40.768
32.290
25.152
30
21
6.815
16.484
19.296
37.825
63.007
57.795
44.166
38.206
32.476
27.774
22.325
31
22
7.439
16.070
19.780
34.241
56.280
50.864
40.072
34.333
27.001
25.711
19.268
32
23
7.241
17.526
20.240
33.635
53.239
47.748
36.315
28.876
25.670
23.094
16.538
33
24
7.492
18.513
19.994
33.029
50.957
46.291
35.762
27.472
25.636
21.151
16.526
34
                         
25
7.292
19.497
19.412
30.898
48.420
43.581
35.684
29.236
24.881
20.510
15.002
35
26
7.650
21.620
19.302
30.008
47.752
41.201
34.624
29.225
25.855
21.471
14.428
36
27
7.781
21.733
19.531
28.357
44.306
39.073
34.413
28.050
25.860
20.502
13.060
37
28
8.381
20.908
19.196
26.138
40.776
36.028
29.919
26.307
23.424
20.298
11.898
38
29
7.960
19.742
18.410
27.704
38.423
36.032
26.807
24.066
23.268
20.255
11.691
39
                         
30
8.345
20.365
17.568
24.600
35.654
34.212
27.652
22.763
24.996
19.374
10.694
40
31
7.345
20.525
16.941
22.178
36.966
33.419
28.117
24.511
23.193
18.924
10.259
41
32
8.429
21.617
16.324
21.405
34.047
31.488
26.390
23.210
20.901
17.734
10.300
42
33
8.274
21.206
15.465
21.086
31.260
28.991
25.833
21.675
19.668
16.160
10.094
43
34
8.397
19.497
14.817
18.802
29.744
28.611
24.587
20.402
18.347
17.037
9.323
44
                         
35
8.319
19.327
14.574
19.407
26.704
27.091
23.893
21.052
16.479
15.130
8.547
45
36
8.028
17.655
13.424
18.031
27.061
25.712
22.266
20.227
17.324
13.856
7.934
46
37
7.735
18.026
12.972
14.953
25.708
22.924
22.926
19.436
15.957
13.351
7.441
47
38
7.571
16.257
12.844
15.559
24.849
21.560
20.363
17.155
15.901
13.259
6.427
48
39
7.537
16.341
11.927
15.392
23.485
20.949
19.128
16.218
13.210
11.536
6.510
49
                         
40
6.970
15.532
11.279
13.248
21.003
20.782
18.850
14.335
11.079
10.808
5.237
50
41
6.754
15.277
10.338
12.609
19.980
19.934
16.894
14.037
10.721
8.533
4.844
51
42
6.138
14.092
9.047
11.197
18.186
16.634
14.567
12.831
8.717
7.950
4.378
52
43
6.249
13.665
9.217
11.110
17.252
15.111
13.642
8.830
7.068
6.710
3.353
53
44
5.967
12.553
7.451
11.778
16.091
14.731
10.720
8.398
6.924
5.858
3.113
54
                         
45
6.364
12.075
7.482
9.878
14.565
12.167
9.215
7.707
5.452
4.593
2.281
55
46
5.558
11.353
7.368
8.015
12.507
9.856
8.404
6.955
5.094
3.309
2.109
56
47
5.629
10.996
6.041
7.681
11.760
9.091
6.360
6.018
4.503
3.158
1.864
57
48
4.657
9.612
4.828
6.355
10.689
8.075
5.841
4.410
3.497
2.890
1.540
58
49
4.057
7.465
4.827
6.183
9.432
5.801
4.659
3.378
2.758
2.308
1.236
59
                         
50
3.447
5.899
3.466
4.644
6.722
4.851
3.921
3.050
2.151
1.750
1.234
60
51
2.893
5.402
2.904
3.832
5.989
4.051
3.640
2.516
2.648
1.427
0.863
61
52
2.722
5.259
2.485
3.368
5.456
4.139
2.675
2.488
2.065
0.906
0.492
62
53
2.325
3.526
2.116
2.387
5.536
3.676
2.361
2.120
1.350
0.738
0.382
63
54
1.848
2.918
1.660
2.403
4.291
3.084
1.924
1.647
0.980
0.432
0.339
64
                         
55
1.398
1.873
1.237
2.069
3.803
2.474
1.841
0.977
0.778
0.545
65
56
1.424
2.060
1.007
2.029
3.402
2.289
1.320
0.517
0.514
66
57
1.146
1.605
0.873
1.731
2.863
1.131
0.779
0.085
67
58
1.271
1.615
0.554
1.409
2.384
0.980
0.329
68
59
1.007
1.203
0.390
0.774
1.172
0.735
69
                         
60
0.858
0.756
0.079
0.452
0.619
70
61
0.389
0.284
0.233
0.081
71
62
0.311
0.244
0.258
72
63
0.573
0.479
73
64
0.487
74
                         

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value [x]+t at duration t represents the number of recoveries per thousand during the (t+1) year of entitlement for those originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x] who have attained age [x]+t. Rates are derived from death probabilities shown in table 7B and recovery probabilities shown in table 14B. See appendix for details.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.

Table 18.—Disabled Workers
Aggregate Probability of Recovery and Expected Time on the DI Rolls,
by Select Age
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select
age
Male
Female
Probability
of recovery
Time on
DI rolls
Probability
of recovery
Time on
DI rolls
         
16
0.041142
23.16
0.047084
24.15
17
0.042225
23.55
0.037443
24.71
18
0.035683
24.07
0.033605
25.21
19
0.030177
24.48
0.030879
25.63
         
20
0.027060
24.64
0.025742
25.89
21
0.023669
24.50
0.023615
25.87
22
0.022586
24.38
0.021051
25.69
23
0.021699
24.00
0.019884
25.28
24
0.021584
23.55
0.019979
24.88
         
25
0.021727
22.98
0.019829
24.45
26
0.022162
22.52
0.020222
23.93
27
0.021661
22.20
0.019504
23.50
28
0.022064
21.73
0.018443
23.18
29
0.021750
21.33
0.018382
22.75
         
30
0.021057
20.94
0.017774
22.28
31
0.020827
20.54
0.017974
21.82
32
0.020229
20.09
0.017326
21.32
33
0.019775
19.57
0.016621
20.91
34
0.019439
19.03
0.015976
20.42
         
35
0.018583
18.45
0.015419
19.83
36
0.017887
17.98
0.014512
19.25
37
0.016764
17.40
0.013825
18.65
38
0.015950
16.87
0.013139
18.06
39
0.015355
16.28
0.012599
17.43
         
40
0.014353
15.75
0.011490
16.81
41
0.013108
15.21
0.010890
16.18
42
0.012145
14.67
0.009680
15.57
43
0.011075
14.07
0.009055
14.97
44
0.010041
13.53
0.008461
14.29
         
45
0.009219
12.88
0.007685
13.64
46
0.008277
12.27
0.006855
12.93
47
0.007205
11.62
0.006320
12.20
48
0.006601
10.93
0.005447
11.47
49
0.005385
10.23
0.004642
10.69
         
50
0.004259
9.65
0.003705
10.05
51
0.004006
8.88
0.003272
9.23
52
0.003674
8.16
0.003064
8.48
53
0.003000
7.51
0.002560
7.75
54
0.002619
6.82
0.002171
7.02
         
55
0.002084
6.25
0.001782
6.41
56
0.001958
5.58
0.001729
5.71
57
0.001590
4.98
0.001336
5.08
58
0.001174
4.41
0.001295
4.48
59
0.001009
3.86
0.000865
3.92
         
60
0.000681
3.33
0.000555
3.37
61
0.000401
2.80
0.000264
2.82
62
0.000212
2.25
0.000255
2.25
63
0.000492
1.70
0.000515
1.70
64
0.000182
1.00
0.000453
1.00
         

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits.
2. Probability of recovery at select age [x] represents the average probability of recovery within one year for those originally entitled to disability benefits at that particular age. Values are based on aggregate counts of exposure and recoveries across all durations, and have been graduated using Whittaker-Henderson method.
3. Time on DI rolls at select age [x] represents the average number of future years of DI entitlement for those originally entitled to benefits at that particular age who have not recovered. Values are exposure-weighted averages of expected time on the DI rolls across all durations from tables 16A and 16B, which reflect termination due to recovery only. Entitlement is not considered after conversion to old-age benefits.

Table 19.—Disabled Workers
Aggregate Probability of Recovery and Expected Time on the DI Rolls,
by Attained Age
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Attained age
Male
Female
Probability
of recovery
Time on
DI rolls
Probability
of recovery
Time on
DI rolls
         
16
0.002049
20.51
0.001153
23.21
17
0.005830
21.56
0.002568
24.31
18
0.007703
22.62
0.005902
25.10
19
0.010993
23.55
0.011232
25.67
         
20
0.014972
24.26
0.014570
26.34
21
0.024076
24.81
0.018499
26.82
22
0.031246
25.18
0.024761
27.16
23
0.039284
25.48
0.028793
27.39
24
0.042007
25.76
0.032102
27.55
         
25
0.042681
25.98
0.032406
27.67
26
0.045716
26.16
0.032454
27.69
27
0.042214
26.34
0.031652
27.66
28
0.040626
26.36
0.030422
27.58
29
0.038096
26.29
0.028408
27.41
         
30
0.037042
26.13
0.026820
27.15
31
0.036250
25.93
0.025383
26.80
32
0.033566
25.69
0.024981
26.41
33
0.030548
25.38
0.023394
26.00
34
0.030712
24.99
0.022285
25.55
         
35
0.028765
24.58
0.021257
25.06
36
0.027050
24.14
0.020340
24.53
37
0.025769
23.66
0.018932
23.98
38
0.023837
23.14
0.018568
23.39
39
0.023224
22.56
0.017420
22.78
         
40
0.021577
21.97
0.016439
22.14
41
0.019943
21.35
0.015756
21.47
42
0.018733
20.70
0.015024
20.80
43
0.017680
20.02
0.014303
20.10
44
0.016319
19.31
0.013307
19.37
         
45
0.015093
18.58
0.012512
18.61
46
0.013942
17.82
0.011779
17.84
47
0.012635
17.03
0.010960
17.04
48
0.011206
16.22
0.009797
16.22
49
0.009266
15.38
0.009105
15.38
         
50
0.007685
14.51
0.007150
14.52
51
0.006971
13.61
0.006378
13.63
52
0.006314
12.70
0.005762
12.71
53
0.005604
11.77
0.004868
11.78
54
0.004326
10.83
0.003960
10.84
         
55
0.003247
9.88
0.003198
9.88
56
0.002871
8.91
0.002639
8.92
57
0.002485
7.94
0.002507
7.94
58
0.002197
6.96
0.002032
6.96
59
0.002049
5.97
0.001889
5.97
         
60
0.001710
4.98
0.001573
4.99
61
0.001361
3.99
0.001237
3.99
62
0.000817
3.00
0.000776
3.00
63
0.000679
2.00
0.000561
2.00
64
0.000455
1.00
0.000371
1.00
         

Notes:
1. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration.
2. Probability of recovery at attained age x represents the average probability of recovery within one year for those originally entitled to disability benefits who have attained that particular age. Values are based on aggregate counts of exposure and recoveries across all durations, and have been graduated using Whittaker-Henderson method.
3. Time on DI rolls at attained age x represents the average number of future years of DI entitlement for those who have not recovered, and have attained that particular age. Values are exposure-weighted averages of expected time on the DI rolls across all durations from tables 16A and 16B, which reflect termination due to recovery only. Entitlement is not considered after conversion to old-age benefits.

Table 20.—Disabled Workers
Aggregate Probability of Recovery and Expected Time on the DI Rolls,
by Duration
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Duration
Male
Female
Probability
of recovery
Time on
DI rolls
Probability
of recovery
Time on
DI rolls
         
0
0.005539
14.37
0.004070
15.42
1
0.012645
13.91
0.009018
14.83
2
0.010419
13.62
0.006770
14.41
3
0.014106
13.50
0.009840
14.09
4
0.021874
13.61
0.016395
13.95
         
5
0.020425
13.87
0.015257
13.94
6
0.017252
14.09
0.013408
13.92
7
0.014467
14.22
0.011758
13.85
8
0.012539
14.27
0.010564
13.70
9
0.010836
14.30
0.009317
13.58
         
10
0.009711
14.35
0.008013
13.44
11
0.008218
14.28
0.007106
13.28
12
0.007198
14.26
0.006541
13.20
13
0.006256
14.26
0.005747
13.18
14
0.005441
14.26
0.005178
13.17
         
15
0.004732
14.18
0.004994
13.12
16
0.004214
13.94
0.004557
12.93
17
0.003551
13.62
0.003742
12.68
18
0.003005
13.23
0.003215
12.39
19
0.002690
12.81
0.002837
12.03
         
20
0.002289
12.42
0.002503
11.69
21
0.001964
12.10
0.002152
11.43
22
0.001819
11.79
0.002243
11.14
23
0.001557
11.44
0.002158
10.80
24
0.001471
10.98
0.001764
10.38
         
25
0.001286
10.52
0.001490
9.91
26
0.001209
10.17
0.001469
9.50
27
0.001671
9.86
0.001139
9.11
28
0.001248
9.49
0.001166
8.62
29
0.000622
9.00
0.001187
8.08
         
30
0.000933
8.36
0.000571
7.46
31
0.000738
7.40
0.000428
6.63
32
0.000322
6.21
0.000315
5.64
33
0.000194
4.69
0.000692
4.34
34
0.000571
4.23
0.000179
3.92
         
35
0.000425
3.67
1/
3.34
36
0.000050
3.29
1/
3.02
37
1/
2.95
1/
2.73
38
1/
2.55
1/
2.39
39
1/
2.19
1/
2.00
         
40
1/
1.74
1/
1.62
         

1Negligible probability of recovery.

Notes:
1. Duration measured in years since selection.
2. Probability of recovery at duration t represents the average probability of recovery during the (t+1) year of entitlement to benefits. Values are based on aggregate counts of exposure and recoveries across all select ages. Results have been graduated using Whittaker-Henderson method.
3. Time on DI rolls at duration t represents the average number of future years of DI entitlement for those who have not recovered after t years. Values are exposure-weighted averages of expected time on the DI rolls across all ages from Tables 16A and 16B, which reflect termination due to recovery only. Entitlement is not considered after conversion to old-age benefits.


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